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META · FRONTIER FLAGSHIP: MUSE WONDER · CHECKED 2026-11-05

Meta: Muse Wonder & 2026 Buyer's Verdict

Also in current lineup: Muse Spark 1.3 · Muse Spark Open · Muse Glimmer
PAST TYPICAL GAP

Meta last shipped Muse Spark Open on Oct 15, 2026, 22 days ago. Its last 4 release gaps were 5, 23, 40, 3 days, so a typical gap is about 14 days. No next model announced as of Nov 5, 2026.

Days Since Last Public Release Muse Spark Open (2026-10-15)
Typical Public Release Gap
14d
Median of last 4 gaps (mean: 20d across 5 gaps)
Forecast Next-Release Window
2026-10-18 to 2026-11-24
Logged in Forecast Track Record
Official Pricing & Docs Flagship rate: $4 / $20 / 1M

1. SOURCED 2026 RELEASE TIMELINE (7 RELEASES)

Every 2026 Meta Release With Primary Source

Only public API and open-weight releases count toward the cadence calculation. Gated previews and app-only launches are listed for context and marked accordingly.

RELEASE DATE MODEL RELEASE TYPE GAP FROM PRIOR PUBLIC DROP PRIMARY SOURCE
2026-04-08 Muse Spark app only Not counted (gated/app) ai.meta.com ↗
2026-07-09 Muse Spark 1.1 public API preview First 2026 baseline ai.meta.com ↗
2026-08-05 Muse Spark 1.2 public API preview 27d [source] research.meta.ai ↗
2026-08-10 Muse Glimmer 30B open weights 5d [source] research.meta.ai ↗
2026-09-02 Muse Spark 1.3 public API preview 23d [source] research.meta.ai ↗
2026-10-12 Muse Wonder public API preview 40d [source] about.fb.com ↗
2026-10-15 Muse Spark Open open weights 3d [source] research.meta.ai ↗

2. CURRENT MODELS, BENCHMARKS & API PRICING

Current Meta Models a Buyer Can Use Today

Every score and price links directly to its source (LMArena text leaderboard (Oct 27, 2026), Epoch AI, Artificial Analysis, or official lab documentation). Unpublished metrics are left as "Not published".

MODEL & RELEASE DATE INPUT / OUTPUT ($/1M) CONTEXT ARENA TEXT ELO GPQA DIAMOND OUTPUT SPEED
Muse Wonder ↗ FRONTIER FLAGSHIP
Released 2026-10-12 · Effort: minimal · low · medium · high · xhigh · max (reasoning_effort="minimal" | "low" | "medium" | "high" | "xhigh" | "max" (Chat Completions) docs ↗)
Best at: Meta's highest-ranked model on Arena Text (1507, #4 at Max effort). The API is in preview. ↗
Additional evals: Arena Text: 1507 (#4, Max effort) (Arena) ↗
$4.00 / $20.00 ↗
Meta Model API, in preview.
Not published 1507 (Max effort) ↗ Not published Not published
Muse Spark Open ↗ TIER MODEL
Released 2026-10-15
Best at: Meta's large open-weights model (816B total, 42B active) with a 1M context window; 89.0% GPQA Diamond (Meta). ↗
Additional evals: Size: 816B total, 42B active (MoE) (Meta) ↗ · Output speed: 153 tok/s, varies by host (Artificial Analysis) ↗
$1.25 / $4.25 ↗
Hosted price on OpenRouter (ID meta/muse-spark-open) and Together AI (ID meta-models/Muse-Spark-Open-816B-A42B). Open weights under the Muse Model License.
1M ↗ Not published 89.0% (Meta) ↗ 153 tok/s (AA) ↗

3. NEXT-RELEASE FORECAST & PLAIN-LANGUAGE METHOD

How We Estimate the Next Meta Release Window

Plain-language method: We take the last 4 public release gaps for Meta:

Muse Glimmer 30B (2026-08-10): 5d ↗Muse Spark 1.3 (2026-09-02): 23d ↗Muse Wonder (2026-10-12): 40d ↗Muse Spark Open (2026-10-15): 3d ↗

The shortest of those 4 gaps is 3 days, the median is 14 days, and the longest is 40 days. Adding those intervals to Muse Spark Open (2026-10-15) places the historical cadence window between 2026-10-18 and 2026-11-24 (median date: 2026-10-29). Rough estimate from 4 gaps ranging 3 to 40 days. Labs do not follow schedules.

Official Statements & Labeled Rumors

No official next-release announcement or verified press rumor is currently on file for this lab.